Waging a Global Trade War Alone: The Cost of Blanket Tariffs on Friend and Foe
We use an advanced model of the global economy to consider a set of scenarios consistent with the proposal to impose a minimum 60% tariff against Chinese imports and blanket minimum 10% tariff against all other US imports. The basis for the tariff rates is a proposal from former President Elect Donald Trump. Our central finding is that a global trade war between the United States and the rest of the world at these tariff rates would cost the US economy over $910 billion.
Read More